Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 13.962677 15.743237 17.722070 20.094866 22.876557 26.051019 29.971771
2025-10-05 12.753338 15.353850 18.493961 22.610458 27.932736 34.677061 44.025501
2025-10-12 11.480015 14.426506 18.185836 23.423954 30.680576 40.606229 55.623471
2025-10-19 10.052409 13.031507 16.988947 22.760440 31.189717 43.431699 63.313125
2025-10-26 9.398800 12.542971 16.881382 23.490987 33.655214 49.327051 76.696856
2025-11-02 8.570189 11.701353 16.153910 23.180214 34.451354 52.720842 86.678051
2025-11-09 7.855105 10.939146 15.441280 22.769730 34.978598 55.690319 96.488172
2025-11-16 7.284115 10.328523 14.881056 22.507992 35.674012 59.003198 107.637570
2025-11-23 6.710745 9.661279 14.164361 21.896738 35.662463 61.006288 116.598675
2025-11-30 6.310085 9.224119 13.763912 21.757417 36.446668 64.593876 129.773568
2025-12-07 5.794624 8.567187 12.953382 20.823645 35.639366 64.916273 135.653793
2025-12-14 5.298803 7.908204 12.089383 19.711495 34.355462 64.063597 138.534609
2025-12-21 4.933820 7.450465 11.548079 19.168424 34.193197 65.720870 148.643697
2025-12-28 5.096397 7.869401 12.524452 21.521313 40.182193 82.064947 203.609687
2026-01-04 4.980441 7.808959 12.658492 22.287172 42.990866 91.783407 244.208244
2026-01-11 4.668093 7.389236 12.116591 21.663317 42.666781 93.751219 261.295264
2026-01-18 4.566889 7.329437 12.221643 22.350117 45.402946 104.190863 311.973068
2026-01-25 4.342708 7.036683 11.871634 22.057995 45.807984 108.474886 342.528400
2026-02-01 4.124612 6.741461 11.495328 21.672056 45.932277 112.013643 372.112400
2026-02-08 3.940272 6.496571 11.197667 21.425914 46.369435 116.586399 408.708184
2026-02-15 3.730983 6.194221 10.768544 20.850916 45.893258 118.305095 433.734841
2026-02-22 3.586626 6.004394 10.547437 20.719825 46.558188 123.790922 480.287531
2026-03-01 3.370359 5.669009 10.017153 19.840892 45.116239 122.129912 489.944690